[00:00:52] Preston Pysh: Hey everyone, welcome
to the show. I’m here with Luke. Luke, welcome to The Investor’s Podcast and the Bitcoin
Fundamentals Show. [00:00:59] Luke Broyles: Thank you very much.
It’s quite an honor to be here. [00:01:02] Preston Pysh: Great to have you.
So you’re making a splash online, and my goodness, I found a couple of your threads
on Twitter and was just kind of blown away at the content and the thought that you’re
putting together and, and putting out there. [00:01:17] Preston Pysh: So I figured it would
be, it’d be great to bring you on the show and just learn more about you and who you
are. So start off there and, and tell us a little bit about yourself. [00:01:26] Luke Broyles: Well, thanks. As,
as we were just talking before we started recording, you’re one of the people that
I really wanted to talk to, just cuz your background and everything. [00:01:32] Luke Broyles: I’ve, I’ve loved
your podcast for a long time, so it’s like, it’s, I’m so excited to be here. Yeah,
who am I? Where did I come from? I’m completely shocked with how much attention my threads
have gotten online.
Thus far. I’ve only posted two and the first one I posted not
expecting much and it went pretty much viral, more or less instantly. [00:01:51] Luke Broyles: Like same day. Like
I wasn’t planning it at all. I, in, in retrospect, you know, I had typos in it. I was like, oh,
no, . I, I couldn the perfectionist to me wished that I’d spent a little more time
putting it together, but, but the second one did even better. And it’s, it’s been really
nice to have all this positive feedback from Twitter and have people such as yourself reach
out to me and express interest in us. [00:02:13] Luke Broyles: So it’s been really
great and I, I am being told by others that I’m presenting other people’s ideas and
new ideas and a new lens. So hopefully today in this show, I can bring the presentation
of Bitcoin with perhaps a new light and perhaps new ideas. Whether the right or wrong, hopefully
they’re more right than wrong.
[00:02:31] Luke Broyles: But anyway, I’m
looking forward to sharing what I have today, so [00:02:34] Preston Pysh: I love it. I love
it. So what was the impetus for writing the first thread that really kind of caught everyone’s
attention? [00:02:41] Luke Broyles: Yeah, so I explained
this a little bit on Blocker Solutions podcast with Joe last week. The long story short is
that I first heard Bitcoin in 2017, and I was just new to finance, new to everything
like that.
[00:02:54] Luke Broyles: And so like a risk
off person that I am, which I know for those listing that might sound a little silly, that
I’m super deep into Bitcoin, I’m risk off, but we’ll get to that later. Trust
me, I assumed it’s a scam or speculation and I didn’t really understand it. I, it
was too unknown to me.
It was too confusing. [00:03:10] Luke Broyles: And you know, you
just go online or you watch any news clip and there’s just so much jargon. It’s
so, it’s just so complicated and most people think it’s out of [00:03:17] Luke Broyles: reach. And I was
like that too. So 2017, I heard of it and I completely ignored it. I did not look into
it at all. And then 20 18, 20 19, I had some contacts, friends, acquaintance. [00:03:29] Luke Broyles: That I knew were
very smart and I knew were into Bitcoin. And so I realized, okay, if I’m going to be
intellectually consistent, here I am wrong. And either I’m wrong about my friends and
my acquaintances and I’ve been duped in, they’re actually not nearly as smart as
I think they are cuz they’re gambling all this money in this internet magic money.
[00:03:48] Luke Broyles: Or there’s possibly
something that I’m not understanding about the spit Bitcoin thing. So anyway, I go down
the rabbit. and eventually I come to the conclusions that we’ll get to in this video of Bitcoin’s
inevitability and its significance for the era. And of course, like most Bitcoiners,
eventually I wanted to start telling other people, because I believe this is really important,
I need to tell other people, warn other people. [00:04:11] Luke Broyles: And, and just a long
process of trying to explain Bitcoin, which is again a very abstract, difficult topic
for most people to understand. I was just honing in my presentation more and more and
more, and eventually I have all these slides.
And now with the bear market and Bitcoin and
price being down, you know, less and less people are interested in it. [00:04:29] Luke Broyles: At least in my circle,
less people are interested in it. So, I decided to, Hey, you know, I’m getting less calls
or less messages. Why don’t I just post it on Twitter and see what happens? And I
figured, shoot, maybe I’ll get a thousand views and it’ll be great and you know, I’ll
get a couple comments or thumbs up or emojis or whatever. [00:04:45] Luke Broyles: But it instantly
blew up. And I was like, wow, okay. I actually have the ability to present something here.
And people gave wonderful feedback. And so now it’s really, it.
It’s the cliche of
overnight success, more or less that has a long backstory. And I’m not trying to overstate
what I’ve done so far. I’ve only done two threads and you know, I’m not huge or
anything, but it’s definitely felt like that the fifth, two and a half, three years
I’ve been pretty much talking to people 1 0 1 or small presentations of a dozen people
or so. [00:05:14] Luke Broyles: And all of a sudden
now, you know, thanks to the magic of the internet and this new communications network
that we’ve created, it can get very wide viewership very quickly. So anyway, all that
to say that’s, that’s my basic story of why I made the threads is basically my consolidation
of trying to explain Bitcoin as concisely as I can.
[00:05:32] Preston Pysh: So you have this
five eras of monetary history. Walk us through some. [00:05:39] Luke Broyles: Yeah, so this is
a topic I’ve not actually yet discussed in my threads, and I probably will in the
future in greater detail, but basically what the average person needs to understand, what
I believe in, to understand is that, like my first thread discusses, human society is
defined by the technology of our era. [00:05:55] Luke Broyles: So one, one of the
main points to make my first thread is that we are in an ancient world of tomorrow, today,
in the year 2023, and that we actually have less in common with the person a hundred years
from now than the person 2000 years ago, because a hundred years from now, technology’s going
to be so much more advanced that we can even conceive today if we’re optimist and we
assume that everything’s going to continue as it is currently continuing, then basically
the technology between today and then it’s going to be incompatible in the same way that,
you know, we’re incompatible with the pre-flight horse era of, you know, the, the 1920s and
you know, the early 20th century.
[00:06:30] Luke Broyles: 19th century in the
same way that’s an ancient world technologically to today. That’s us in the future. And so
defining that and, and expanding on that first thread and that idea, it’s not just eras
are defined by the technology, they’re also defined by the monetary technology of that
era and the different and different eras. [00:06:47] Luke Broyles: And the quality of
money of any given era is more or less limited to the advancement of technology of that era.
So specifically what I might talking about here, well, the first kind of money that humans
had was more or less basically social credit. You know, you had small villages and towns
or whatever you want to call them, in very, very ancient world before were empires and
ancient civilizations. [00:07:09] Luke Broyles: You know, basically
you are in debt to your neighbors, your family, and your, you know, your community. You provide
work for other people and they returned the work for you. And that’s what I mean by
social credit and not our modern understanding of social credit, but basically that it was
a small community so that everyone could keep track in their heads.
[00:07:26] Luke Broyles: Who owns who, what.
That was pretty much the first monetary system where basically it’s pure human trust. That’s
the currency. It’s relationships, that’s the currency of very early society. And then
going from there, eventually you get to a more or less a world where you have small
ancient societies, you know, Mesopotamia and Egypt and, and everything of that sort. [00:07:49] Luke Broyles: And everyone begins
to store their monetary energy in commodities that are more universally accepted. So things
like salt or green, these, these things were once money and they were kept track of on
tablets. You know, the samians kept track of these things on tablets, you know, these
are the ledgers, the first ledgers. [00:08:05] Luke Broyles: And so really these
things were the first forms of money. And obviously there are many, many examples here
are radically oversimplifying, but basically salt and green is an advancement in technology
that ma, that makes the old world seem ancient, you know, to upgrade from hunting and gathering
to actually having farms where you can go greens and you know, have cows and livestock
and everything of that sort.
[00:08:26] Luke Broyles: You know, those are
the first kinds. Of money AF after the social credit era. And then of course technology
continues to advance and eventually we go to gold. And gold, you know, especially towards
the beginning of ad, you know, Rome and, and everything of that sort. You have gold kind
of taking the stage because while salt and grain is better than social credit, cuz you
can actually touch it and you can actually quantify it, you know, in bushels or barrels
or whatever on a tablet and actually have a ledger. [00:08:53] Luke Broyles: You know, technology’s
progressing. You have writing and everything now.
Now gold’s even better than that because
the problem with grain, of course is that, you know, it expires and gold. It doesn’t
really expire. So gold is an improvement of technology from the old monetary standards.
So that, that’s kind of the more ancient world that we think of today. [00:09:09] Luke Broyles: You know, we’re,
we’re talking, you know, much later Egyptian period, Rome, China and, and other dynasties
and empires. That’s the gold era. And then you come to the Dutch and you know, middle
Ages and that era and you basically have a debt monetary system where basically we more
or less, and I know a lot of people will criticize me for saying upgrade, you know, because in
many ways it’s not an upgrade. [00:09:29] Luke Broyles: But going from gold
to a debt-based promissory energy system where, you know, again, all these things come back
to trust, you know, social credit was trust, salt and green is trust that the next person
in the future is going to value those things cuz you can eat.
Same thing with gold, same
thing with national currencies and everything like that. [00:09:47] Luke Broyles: So the Dutch, you
know, the, the reason I point them out here is that they were the first central bank.
They had the first central bank stock market. You know, basically a lot of what we would
call the modern finance world really originated there. So that would be the fourth era. They
were fourth macro era, era. [00:10:02] Luke Broyles: And of course, each
region in the world advanced at different times.
And so again, it’s a radical oversimplification,
but where we are now and the big scope of where we are now, you know, basically I want
to make the point in this show today that bitcoin’s a monetary singularity. And I
would argue the monetary singularity, that meaning we’re entering the fifth era here. [00:10:20] Luke Broyles: And so fundamentally,
What has to be understood, I believe by the average person, is that this is a very rare
event and it makes perfect sense as we leave the industrial era of the 17th, 18th, 19th,
20th centuries, you know, all that era, more or less in the industrial revolution putting
that in a pin, including that now we’re entering the information era and we’re only
beginning the information agent.
[00:10:41] Luke Broyles: This is something
I think that people don’t realize, you know, just because their lives have changed so much,
we think we’re in the middle of the information agent. It’s like, no, we’re at the very
beginning of it, and we’ll touch on that later, but, but that, that’s the basic idea
here, that humanity is a continual, exponential curve of technological progress. [00:10:56] Luke Broyles: That’s, that’s
the basis of history and the world’s empire’s, the world’s political movements and regimes
and the world’s monetary standards, you know, frankly, are a function of the technological
advancement of that time. Everything comes back to the technology. So if that’s the
basic idea with those standards and those five standards are loose again, but that’s
the basic idea. [00:11:17] Preston Pysh: I’m curious to
hear a little bit more on your thoughts on the comment about this being the beginning
of the information era.
What do you, what do you mean by that? [00:11:26] Luke Broyles: Yeah. Well, what
I mean by that is strictly an adoption curve here in the West. We’re very privileged
and spoiled. You know, I’m, I’m in the United States, a as you are, and probably
a lot of people listening to this, you know, we’re all able to listen to this, you know,
with their own headphones in real time. [00:11:39] Luke Broyles: We have extremely
low friction costs and it’s basically free and instantaneous as soon as we want it. And
it’s a wonderful thing. But the reality is for about 40% of the world, depending on
which sources you cite, you know, there’s a significant portion of the world that’s
yet to use the internet. And so if we were to say that given technology only a 60% adoption,
you know, frankly, I wouldn’t say we’re in the height of the internet.
[00:12:00] Luke Broyles: I would say we’re
only in the beginning, more or less, a third to half the world is yet to use the internet.
And then once they do, you know, they, they’re, you know, these developing nations and regions
are going to industrialize. And so we’re at the beginning of that. So all these things
coming in the future, artificial intelligence, humanoid robots self-driving cars, all these
other things I think can easily be classified in information age. [00:12:21] Luke Broyles: And really, you know,
the information age, in my view at least started with the computer and, you know, the forties.
I think that’s, you can debate that though, but one, one way or another, I, I believe
we’re at the very beginning of the information age, just because there’s so many people
yet to use the internet.
[00:12:35] Luke Broyles: And then once they
begin using the internet, then that’s where all the growth begins. You know, it, to me
it’s akin to saying in, you know, the early 20th century that the industrial era is over
when it’s like, okay, no, we just discovered flight and the locomotive is only a, you know,
60, 70% adoption, whatever it is. [00:12:51] Luke Broyles: So that’s the basic
I idea there. [00:12:54] Preston Pysh: When we talk about
boom busts of empires, what are some of your thoughts on where that is today with the United
States, Europe nato how do you see that and what are some of the key driving factors that
create that? [00:13:08] Luke Broyles: Yeah, that’s a
great question. I have a few slides here just to, if I can share my screen. [00:13:12] Luke Broyles: Really quick. Gimme
one second. Alright, here we go. So, to explain that I, I think first we have to go back to
technology because technology fundamentally improves the living standards of everyone.
This first chart here that we’re looking at is a GDP per capita for citizens from 1800
all the way up to the modern era here.
[00:13:30] Luke Broyles: And if you look at
the chart, it’s color coded and has very clear lines here that as GDP goes up and technology
becomes better, everyone becomes richer, the rich become richer, and the poor become richer.
And I know this might be controversial to people, but you know, statistically speaking,
the poor become richer at a faster rate than than the wealthy people do. [00:13:49] Luke Broyles: And I mean, this
is a wonderful thing. This is why I care so much about Bitcoin. It’s about helping other
people.
And we’ll get. Of that later. But basically as these changes happen, and looking
at the next slide here, as poverty declines as a function of time, you have social orders
that change. So when it comes to the boom bus cycle that you asked about with, with
empires, I believe a major driving factor. [00:14:10] Luke Broyles: And that is technological
change as a society develops. You know, if we look at the Portuguese or the Spanish or
the Dutch or, you know, Europe is one of the best examples of this because it’s so clearly
defined and it happens so quickly you know, in a matter. And so consistently over a long
period of time, you can see clearly how one empire innovates and creates new technology
and people become more prosperous. [00:14:33] Luke Broyles: You know, looking
at this chart here, you can see how your technological cost of light, Hey, Luke is done dramatically. [00:14:39] Preston Pysh: Luke, the right side
of your chart’s getting cut off. Oh. I’m. Here we go. There we go. See it now. Okay,
now we’re good.
Go ahead. Keep going. Yeah. Yeah. So, so this, this being one of my favorite
examples, you know, of that, of candlelight, you know, and the cost of candlelight going
down dramatically. [00:14:53] Luke Broyles: I mean, obviously
you, you can extrapolate this out to various eras of technological progress. But basically
as the demographics of society change, both within a nation or empire and without its
bo outside its borders as well you know, people migrate based on this where prosperity is,
and prosperity of course is a result of technological progress.
[00:15:14] Luke Broyles: And so as technology
pro progresses and prosperity becomes cheaper for the average person, this causes empires
to gain an upper hand one over the other. So one nation lurches forward in a positive
way in having more prosperity for its people. Its armies. Armies are better equipped and
more technologically advanced to competing armies and everything, and all this innovation,
which is extremely expensive. [00:15:35] Luke Broyles: Eventually, competing
nations do cheaper, faster, better than the prosperity nation, you know, I mean, to give
a. Modern day example, you know, take the United States and China, you know, the United
States in the mid 20th century, for example, was having all this technological progress.
We were the hub of, of tech progress in many ways. [00:15:52] Luke Broyles: We still are. However,
the, you know, the rest of the world, you know, outside the United States, doesn’t
have to expend those resources to the same degree the United States does. And so they
can produce everything we do, you know, cheaper, faster, better. And again, this isn’t anti-China,
you know, only pro-American stance here. [00:16:10] Luke Broyles: This is this is about
it.
It’s ultimately good for the world. You know, a lot of Americans really dislike
the fact that China and other nations take away a lot of jobs. But the reality is this
happens every time. You know, you have one empire that rises up. Prosperity becomes cheaper,
people become more prosperous. [00:16:27] Luke Broyles: Life living standards
become more expensive. And a competing nation is able to, you know, it’s a global free
market and they basically compete ’em out. And so eventually the nation that has been
prosperous for so long, decades, or even centuries, Eventually what happens is that they don’t
like that growth is not going as fast as it used to. [00:16:46] Luke Broyles: Now we have all these
competitors and so what do they do? They begin to borrow and borrow and borrow to make it
look like the growth is continuing.
And you know, when you borrow, you’re borrowing
from your future self. You’re delaying gratification. And when you do that on a societal level,
eventually you begin to curtail innovation and you actually weaken it and you just cause
this vicious feedback loop. [00:17:06] Luke Broyles: So anyway, long story
short is that when we come here to look at skipping ahead a little bit right here, what
we have is a timeline, historical timeline of reserve currencies of the world. And this
is, you know, just one aspect to look at dominant empires. But the important point I want to
make here is, number one, reserve currencies change very frequently on an historical timescale. [00:17:28] Luke Broyles: And there are many
more ways to define reserve currencies. This is just one way to define it globally, you
know, especially the further back in time you go, the more local powers you have and
everything. But for the sake of simplicity, this is one of my favorite charts to explain
it.
And one of the clear trends is that it becomes faster and faster, that the duration
at which a reserve currency lasts becomes shorter and shorter over time. [00:17:48] Luke Broyles: And I would argue
that fundamentally, like I said earlier, it all comes back to technology. And the reason
at which these reserve currencies, and likewise these empires are becoming shorter and shorter
and shorter is a function of time, is because as technology moves faster, these cycles of,
you know, demographics and migration patterns and everything just happen faster and faster
and faster. [00:18:07] Luke Broyles: So that’s the basic
idea of the boom bus cycle here. It just all comes back to technology because technology
drives prosperity. Prosperity drives politics and armies and conflicts and everything of
that. And when you think of war, what is war besides just a redistribution of resources
and prosperity? [00:18:24] Luke Broyles: Granted, it’s extremely
expensive and disastrous and horrible, but that’s basically the game theory of what
it is.
And so you ask specifically about the US. And I, I believe frankly, that we’re
in a difficult spot here for the US and for the Western General. If we look here at the
consumer price index of the United States, what we have here is , a clear trend that
began in the middle of the 20th century and has only gotten worse since then. [00:18:53] Luke Broyles: So, I don’t know
if you have any comments on this chart. You’ve probably seen it before, but I don’t know,
do you have any reactions to just the striking visual of this? Well, [00:19:03] Preston Pysh: I’m, I guess I’m
curious on your why access there. So this is percent of c p i, cuz it seems like it’s
in stark contrast to what’s being published.
[00:19:15] Luke Broyles: Yes, this is, this
is cumulative. Yep. [00:19:17] Preston Pysh: This is, oh, okay.
It’s cumulative. Okay. Gotcha. [00:19:19] Luke Broyles: Yep, yep, yep. This,
this is between 1775 and all the way up to 2012. So it’s not quite up to date today,
so it’s even higher than here. But you know what, what we can see for those that are perhaps
listening audibly is that we more or less have, you know, a, a flat line that goes up
and down a little bit from 1775 all the way up till 1913. [00:19:40] Luke Broyles: You know, world War
I, we have a dramatic increase in inflation spending, you know, of course fighting a war
here in Europe and after World War I that goes down and World War ii, it increases again.
And in the 1970s and specifically the 1971, the CPI just kind of completely falls off
the rails.
And the reason for this, for those that may not know, is that the United States
has had multiple monetary standards in the course of its history. [00:20:04] Luke Broyles: Before the Federal
Reserve, we had two central banks means of them existing more. Of course, we’ve actually
had two hyperinflationary events on US soil. And what we have here now is we have a new
monetary standard. 1913, we had the creation of the Federal Reserve, the current central
Bank of the United States, and in 1944 we had the Brenton Woods Agreement, which basically
pegged the US dollar to gold.
[00:20:27] Luke Broyles: And we’ll get to
that in more in a moment. But 1971 here is really the year that is applicable to most
people’s lives, watching the everyday person that that should be a date that most people
know, but it’s not times schools for reasons I won’t get into here , but basically the
reason it’s important is because it detached the US dollar from. [00:20:46] Luke Broyles: And as we were discussing
monetary errors before gold was an improvement on former monies. And one of the reasons that
gold has been such a good form of money for so long is because it’s an extremely high
brute force physical cost to create more gold. It’s extremely expensive to create more
gold. Now granted, as the value of gold goes up, the economic incentive to my more gold
increases. [00:21:07] Luke Broyles: So of course there’s
always going to be more gold dumped onto the market.
This is just a, you know, factor of
the free market. You know, if price adjusts up, more gold will be produced. If price goes
down, less gold will be produced, and then that increases value. So meaning price goes
out. This is just how gold works. [00:21:21] Luke Broyles: But the problem with
detaching a fiat currency from something with a brute force, physical costs like gold or
oil or some other tangible thing, is you divorce, you know, this abstract concept of money,
which is just a ledger of trust f from reality.
And now we’re no longer trusting that the
US dollars pegged to something real. [00:21:41] Luke Broyles: We’re just trusting
that. The US dollars that, you know, it’s refundable. We’re trusting people to issue
it, that they’re not going to issue it in an unlimited fashion. And of course, the problem
with humans is that we’re all sinful, we’re all broken, and we’re all corrupt . And
so as soon as you detach gold from a fiat currency, all of a sudden, guess what? [00:22:02] Luke Broyles: Promises start being
broken. And you see this runaway inflation statistic here. So what we see is that as
technology’s progressing and demographics began shifting 50 years ago due to technology
and prosperity post World War ii, we saw that the United States basically said, Hey, you
know, we can’t make our obligations with these, this gold peg, and we have to detach. [00:22:24] Luke Broyles: And so that’s what
they did, and that’s why we see this massive inflation spike.
[00:22:28] Preston Pysh: I, I would love to
see from 2010 outward what this would look like, cuz it looks like this only goes out
to about 2010 on the chart. I can only imagine if you added the next 13 years in there, what
what angle would be looking like right now. [00:22:43] Preston Pysh: And that’s assuming
we trust the, the reported CPI numbers that are, that are being told to us. [00:22:50] Luke Broyles: Yes, yes. Definitely.
That, that’s trusting those numbers. And, and the whole idea, you know, for those, especially
the younger folks like myself, something I think I should say is that the whole idea
of accounting for inflation is, is a new idea.
[00:23:03] Luke Broyles: You know, if, if
we find the occurrence of adjusting for inflation in books all the way back to 1800 here in
this chart, you can see a clear spike in the early 1970s where the term quote unquote adjusted
for inflation becomes apparent. Mm-hmm. . And the whole reason Preston, that we have this
is, is because it, we have a ledger that is not consistent.
[00:23:24] Luke Broyles: It makes no sense.
You know, even in the charts we were looking at earlier, you know, when we adjust for poverty
or adjust for GDP per capita, we have to adjust for inflation. Mm-hmm. and, and the reason
we have to adjust for inflation is because what is money? Money is the unit at which
we determine and communicate value to one another. [00:23:42] Luke Broyles: And if you change
the inherent supply of money, you corrupt that metric. You, you. Inconsistent. You make
it unreliable. You know, a good metaphor I like to give is that like a meter stick. You
know, if, if I had an inflation rate for the meter stick where I inflated or de de based
the length of a meter stick, you know, every architect and everyone that measures anything
in the world would have to continually adjust their blueprints and their plans based on
the changing of the length of the meter stick.
[00:24:14] Luke Broyles: And that’s might
be our crude analogy, but that’s the basic idea here. When you have a system, a ledger,
a monetary system that’s supposed to represent all the wealth in the world, and then you
create more money or destroy money, and you, and you artificially change it, well what,
what do you do? All you do is you corrupt everything. [00:24:32] Luke Broyles: You make prices,
which is the communication mechanism at which we determine. You make it inherently corrected
and you basically cause this inherent communication breakdown in every layer of society. [00:24:44] Preston Pysh: So I think I’m
looking at, I really like some of Michael Saylor’s thoughts on inflation, where he
is talking about it being a vector and for each person it’s different.
[00:24:53] Preston Pysh: So like your inflation
rate is different than my inflation rate just because we have totally different spending
habits. We have different things that we value. And so for every person in the US or around
the world, this is something that I think plays into the hand of, of the manipulators,
of the , the currency manipulators that are adding extra units onto the ledger is they
can, they can publish these numbers and it’s really hard for one person to say, oh, that’s
not accurate, because it all comes down to the waiting of every single individual person
and what they preface as being important or not important. [00:25:30] Preston Pysh: Yeah. I love this,
this, this is a great point. [00:25:32] Luke Broyles: Yeah. And that’s
really true. You know, one of the reasons there’s so much noise in the financial space,
you know? Mm-hmm. , especially those in the financial space will know what I’m about
to say, but there’s so much talk about interest rates constantly.
Mm-hmm. [00:25:43] Luke Broyles: You know, pretty
much everyone’s heard about interest rates and this and that at yields and blah, blah,
blah, blah, and it doesn’t really make sense to them. Mm-hmm. , and basically to cut through
the noise and get to the signal and root of it all. What’s happening here is that the
price of money is changing. [00:25:55] Luke Broyles: And so every time
that Jerome Powell or some other central figure of this board that changes the supply of money
whenever they come out and say, this is the price of money, or this is how we’re going
to change this, and you know, what they’re basically doing is they’re repricing everything.
And that’s why the market is so volatile and increasingly more volatile. [00:26:13] Luke Broyles: As the economy becomes
more and more dependent as, as debt increases become more dependent on that price of money
changing and markets react in a greater and greater degree to that.
So as we have these
people that announce the change of the measure of value in the system, that’s why, that’s
why so many news lots, lot less. [00:26:31] Luke Broyles: That’s why people
get paid so much money to try to predict what these folks are going to do. Because to be
able to predict that you, I mean if you can predict what the Federal Reserve or any issuer
of currency is going to do, you can pretty much predict anything. The problem is of course,
nobody can predict what they’re going to do cuz they’re humans and you can’t trust
humans. [00:26:46] Preston Pysh: So, go to go to your
next slide here, Luke. I like this next slide. Yeah. This is really simple, but I think that
it hammers home the point.
When you have corrupt money, it basically corrupts the incentives.
Then it corrupt, corrupt society and all of the decision making that’s taking place
in there. [00:27:02] Preston Pysh: I really like this.
It’s, it’s simple, but it works. [00:27:05] Luke Broyles: Thank you. It works
great. Thank you. Yeah. Yeah. For, for those that are listening audibly, basically what
you have is you have this premise of corrupting money, so basically corrupting the ledger,
and then when you do that, you corrupt the incentives because if you incentivize people
to predict the change of monetary policy, well what are you doing? [00:27:22] Luke Broyles: You’re incentivizing
less attention towards productivity and improving technology, and thus making the world a better
place for more and more people. and you’re increasing the incentive to predict that.
And this is why you’re seeing so much more speculation today. Mm-hmm. , and this is why
you see so many more gamblers today and you know, people obsessed with the lottery, you
know, continuing over 50 years, people are becoming, even though technology’s getting
better and better and we’re more prosperous than ever before, people are becoming more
and more dependent on gambling and speculation
and all that because we’ve corrupted the incentives in every layer of the world, even
in the investing world, you know, things that are just so crazy compared to what they were
in the past.
And so when you corrupt those incentives,
you corrupt the society because the society inherently has to think shorter and shorter
term, less and less long-term thinking, a lower and lower savings rate. And eventually,
you know, when you corrupt the society enough and you have brains retrained to think in
work, zero sum game thinking and short-term thinking . You
then again, correct the incentive and you again, crep the, it’s just horrible feedback.
And we see this again and again. Of course there are infamous examples of Germany and
Rome and all sorts of other. Times in history, which I won’t get into because it’s quite
a bleak picture, although it’s extremely predictable in unfortunately. So my, my next few slides, we’ll go through
pretty quickly here, but it’s basically emphasizing this larger point that when you
corrupt the money, you corrupt the incentives.
When you corrupt the incentives, you corrupt
the society. And then it’s a feedback loop that continues from there. So, going through
these really quickly for those watching visually what we see here in this fir in for the, in
this first chart again, are the years 1913, 1944, 1971. And remember, those are the three really big,
important years of monetary history in the 20th century for the United States. And this
is a figure of income and equality in the United States. And you can see that pretty
much instantly once we re pegged the dollar to gold and the Brenton Woods agreement in
44 income and equality dramatically decreased.
And likewise, in the early 1970s, after we,
again, de pegged, of course the incentives shifted. There’s a greater incentive to
predict the market. And of course, who’s obsessed in doing that. That’s, you know,
the higher income earners. And so of course, a greater flow of capital and value, again,
left productivity and went back to managing money. And so again, this is another chart emphasizing
the same point, not just the top 1%, but also the top half of percent that you can see.
In 1971, the down trend of in, of decreasing income in inequality shifted and actually
started going back up for the last 50 years, and especially in the last 10 years this has
only only gotten worse.
And so one, one way to think about, and we’ll
come back to this later with, with Bitcoin instead of gold. Is that what we see is that
currencies have depreciated against gold continually forever. One of my favorite examples is the
British Pound, cuz you can, you know, the British Pound is one of the oldest modern
fiat currencies in the world. You can go back 800, 850 years or so, and
you can see clearly that continually the pound is going down and down and down against gold
forever. For almost millennia. Now it’s done nothing but go down against gold. Now
this chart here that we’re looking at is just the last century, but we have multiple
fiat currencies here.
Of course, we can see German marks collapsing
in their early 1920s. This is one of the major factors that led to World War II. Of course,
when you corrupt the money and you destroy the society, you destroy the incentives. You
know, everyone becomes much more open to the idea of a strong leader to come in and change
everything and make everything quote unquote better. Obviously I’m referring to Hitler. So you
know, anyway, we’ll get to more of that later. But basically what we see is every
fiat currency continues to decrease in value against gold as a function of time. and what
that means as fiat currencies decrease in value is at prices of everything goes up.
This is, this is one of the things I think Jeff Booth is just brilliant about, is that
he really defines this conflict between technology and central banks.
And I’ve kind of alluded the tattoo, the
technology’s making everything cheaper and cheaper and we have this massive force trying
to force prices down. But because, you know, humans and people in charge of credit systems
want to keep expanding the monetary supply so that we can have more yields and we can
make prices go up and make all of our voters and constituents and lobbyists happy, you
know, we force prices up even though technology’s making things cheaper in real terms. So this is, this is kind of a, a comical also
depressing metric. Here is a price of a Campbell’s can of soup, tomato soup. And what we see
is it was very consistent for a long period of time.
That year, 1971 that we’re talking
about. And clearly something changed there and all of a sudden the price is becoming
more volatile and it’s only going up even though it’s the same can of soup. And you know, technology’s much better than
it was, you know, 50, 55 years ago. That’s what we have. And it’s not just cans of
soup, but it’s also more essential things. You know, you look at electricity, all food
you can clearly see 1971 where we detached a fiat currency, a k a r ledger from a brute
force, physical cost. All of a sudden everything with the brute
force physical cost goes up and its denominated price because we’re corrupting that measure
of value at which we measure things. And so this goes to hourly consumption as well.
We
see clear distinction here in 1971 and productivity’s got up well over 200%, but compensation’s
only gone up a hundred percent. And you know, Preston, one of the frustrating
things for me, even though I’m a young person, a lot of young people don’t understand Bitcoin
yet, and this whole idea. and it, it’s really hard, you know, it’s really depressing because
I know so many people that are graduating college and their wages just don’t keep
up. Oh yeah. [00:32:40] Luke Broyles: They don’t keep
up with the cost of living anymore. It’s just horrible. You know, I, I’m sure you’ve
seen that too, as well as everyone listening, but this is one of, if not the main reason
why is that, you know, we have basically sucked away the incentive from society becoming more,
more productive and better and better technology.
[00:32:58] Luke Broyles: And we have instead
directed incentive towards financial management and planning and more or less speculating
on what the Federal Reserve or banks are going to do with the supply of money. And so we
see this clear divergence here from 1971 onwards between productivity and compensation for
wages. We have multiple charts showing that here. [00:33:15] Luke Broyles: And then likewise,
you know, we can look at trade policies and again, 1971, average wages and real median
wages and everything, everything begins to diverge and go in completely opposite directions.
And the seventies.
And when I, when I refer to corrupting society, and this is perhaps
even more controversial than everything I’ve already said, but you change the incentive
of the family structure. [00:33:36] Luke Broyles: You know, if we look
here clearly, the, the birth rate, as many people listening might be aware, birth rate
globally is just collapsing. It’s more or less been a free fall, half a century. And
you know, some people would say it’s a coincidence, but I don’t believe it is that in the early
1970s we see two things. [00:33:54] Luke Broyles: We see number one
single income households begin to transition to dual income households. And likewise, the
birth rate begins to decline. There’s less time to be at home, less time with children
because the incentive is for more and more people to work because the real value of wages
and comparative productivity are only going down. [00:34:12] Luke Broyles: And so, you know,
of course, as this happens, what you have is an increased desire for investors to save
their money cuz they can’t trust their ledger anymore.
They have to store their economic
value. In assets. And one of those assets are houses. So House has not only become a
consumer good anymore, but then they become monetized investors. [00:34:30] Luke Broyles: Try to store monetary
wealth within houses. You know, I’m an investor in real estate myself, you are two. And so
it’s this horrible realization that, wow, we’re forcing the price of real estate up
and it’s because we can’t trust our money. You know, there’s, there’s nothing to
attach to money to reality. [00:34:46] Luke Broyles: So instead we have
to store our money in something that’s real, you know, land wood, dirt, and, and that’s
real estate. And that’s why we’ve seen clearly since the, again, since the seventies,
housing prices have only become more and more monetized and more expensive in wages and,
and real terms. And so again, we see Stock Marts doing the same thing.
[00:35:05] Luke Broyles: We see the S&P PE
ratio and Schiller PE ratio. And for those listening audibly, you, you can’t see it.
But again, the seventies is a clear bifurcation of, you know, previous trends. And we see
everything begin to deteriorate. And like I said before, we see only more and more speculation.
We see this clearly in the 1970s. [00:35:24] Luke Broyles: We see less and less
incentive towards resources and productivity industries and more and more incentive towards
banking and everything of that sort. And that’s one of the reasons why we had in the great
financial crisis. And in 2008 being that, you know, there was all this speculation from
decades that eventually began to unwind. [00:35:40] Luke Broyles: And of course, what
we do, we printed ourselves out of it. But basically what we have here demographics too,
it’s also specific to demographic. And incredibly infuriating ways for me and, and probably
for many people watching and incarceration waits. We can also look at that, the war on
drugs and ev everything of that sort. [00:35:58] Luke Broyles: Since the seventies,
again, incarceration rates have only gone up as people become more desperate.
And as
the government needs a way to spend more money, just the incentives flow in one direction
only. And so we can go on and on here. We have the cost of college tuition, you know,
being my age, that’s a especially important topic for my peers. [00:36:14] Luke Broyles: You know, the college,
the cost of college tuition is going up dramatically. And people wonder why. And, well, this, this
is the main reason why when you have a finite number of degrees and an infinite amount of
money, and everyone’s incentivized to, you know, get a college degree because wages are
going down, you have this horrible feedback loop where the incentive for college becomes
greater and then it’s just this greater and greater dependence on the hand that feeds. [00:36:36] Luke Broyles: So yeah. And then
same thing with obesity here. Same thing with the consumption of meat. We see a clear divergence
where chicken takes over everything the world. Chicken thighs, I suppose, in the 1970s. And
we see federal debt also explode in 1970s debts surplus begins to decline. And the 1970s
and interest rates again, interest rates really important because that’s the price of money
and we see the all time peak.
[00:37:00] Luke Broyles: For that we’re
in the seventies and eighties, which are very inflationary periods. And since then we’ve
had to force interest rates down continually. Right now we’re at historically high periods
of inflation rate, especially for the last couple decades. And there’s all this talk
of recession, there’s all this talk of crisis. [00:37:15] Luke Broyles: There’s all this
talk of over over overdoing our rate hikes and everything. And we’re barely higher
than we were, you know, a couple decades ago. And so all that, all us to say that we’re
having a greater and greater financial incentive. We’re becoming more and more top heavy.
With debt. And as we do that, we correct the society. [00:37:32] Luke Broyles: So all that to say
is that when the money is a lie, cuz we no longer have a consistent ledger we have a
greater incentive to lie. And then we eventually have a society built on lies.
And that’s
why we have all this noise and all this chaos both in the financial sector and the cultural
sector and everything and that sort. [00:37:48] Luke Broyles: And that’s why
it, it, in my opinion, that’s why everything feels like it’s getting worse and worse
even though technology is getting better. You know, objectively we’re all more prosperous
who were 10 years ago. Everything feels a little more disjointed than it was in the
past. And the reason for that is because we have an abstract lie at the fundamental basis
of our society.
[00:38:06] Luke Broyles: And that is that
our money isn’t true. When you crept the money, you inherently crept every price of
everything and you bake in inefficiency into every layer of society. So I know I just covered
a lot and a lot of charts there, but I really wanted to emphasize this idea that this isn’t
just about money, this impacts everything in society. [00:38:25] Preston Pysh: Well, your last chart,
I mean everybody that you can see it online, everyone’s calling it clown world, right?
They’re referring to everything as clown world is amplifying, it’s getting worse,
right? They can’t describe in any type of granularity what you just described, especially
with the charts that you’ve thrown up there and explain the why behind it. [00:38:46] Preston Pysh: But they can sure
as heck feel it. And any person you talk to, I don’t care who it is right now, everybody’s
like, what the heck is happening? It feels like everything’s just coming off the rails.
And and I think it’s because we’re getting closer and closer to kind of the precipice
of this, this monetary change changeover that’s, that’s in the works.
[00:39:08] Preston Pysh: We obviously have
a bias and an opinion on where that , where that’s going, and you know, that’s for
the listener to decide whether they agree or not. But I think the more that I see really
smart people like yourself laying out quantitative charts that go into detail like you just showed,
it’s really hard to dispute and, and deny what, what we’re about to go through, I
think here.
[00:39:32] Preston Pysh: Hey, let’s, let’s
talk a little bit about game theory. I know this is a topic that you like to cover, it’s
something that I haven’t really covered too much on the show. I mean, we’ve covered
it here and there, but what are some of your thoughts on game theory? [00:39:44] Luke Broyles: Yeah, game theory.
The game theory of money is really interesting to me. [00:39:49] Luke Broyles: First thing to understand
is that money converges on one. Why would you trust the second best money when you can
just trust the best one? Silver is just an inferior gold, you know, there, you know,
take, I mean, take real estate. If we consider that a form of money, there’s, you know,
the best piece of, you don’t want the second best piece of real estate.
[00:40:03] Luke Broyles: Mm-hmm. , you want
the best one. So it’s the same thing with money. , why would you want the Payso or the
Lira when you could just have the US dollar? You know, you’re taking everything is a
risk. You might as well take the one that has a greater network effect and a lower risk.
And, you know, this is what’s often attributed to Metcalf’s law and Gresham’s law which
I probably don’t have time to get into here. [00:40:22] Luke Broyles: But, you know, all,
all these theories are basically saying the same thing. That money is trust. All these
monetary errors are basically various ways of saying trust. And of course, you’re only
going to trust the network that has more trust. , why would you trust the second best when
you could just stick with the best? [00:40:37] Luke Broyles: And so what we have
here when it comes to game theory is we are currently on, on the edge, like I said earlier,
of the ancient being, becoming the ancient world tomorrow.
Even though we’re tomorrow
world, yesterday, we’re the ancient world of tomorrow. And when we look at everything,
even before we get to Bitcoin, you know, Bitcoin aside, what we see here is that we have an
infinite supply of everything. [00:40:59] Luke Broyles: You know, real estate
is one of the most obvious examples. You know, a couple thousand years ago, a stone, one
story house is a really big deal. And today, you know, the average person can afford a
apartment or duplex or you know, a house that’s far more prosperous than a billionaire could
have a hundred years ago. [00:41:18] Luke Broyles: You know, I know
perhaps we may not feel like we’re as high in the social rankings as them, but you know,
truth is they didn’t have air conditioning, they didn’t have wifi routers in their houses.
They didn’t have computers.
You know, I mean, your, your phone in your pocket has
a library bigger than Rockefeller’s library. [00:41:34] Preston Pysh: They, you know, they
didn’t have an open ai. They could just write them anything they want on a whim. . [00:41:40] Luke Broyles: Yeah. Yeah, exactly.
So we have an infinite amount of prosperity here, basically we have, yeah. We’re able
to create more and more houses. We’re able to have more and more intelligence like, you
know, artificial intelligence like you just referred to. [00:41:52] Luke Broyles: More and more books,
more and more information, more and more knowledge like, like take the internet here, we have
more and more connections. There, there’s more of everything.
And so basically I, one
of my favorite visuals that I’ve designed to really emphasize this is this one here,
is that we have an infinite amount of pretty much everything. [00:42:09] Luke Broyles: Infinite knowledge,
metals, and en energy, everything, like I mentioned thus far. Mm-hmm. there, there’s
an endless amount of stocks. There’s an endless amount of bonds, endless amount of
cash that we, you know, denominate everything in endless amount of houses. All these things
are open systems, and what I mean by open systems, I perha, I’d love to hear your,
your thoughts on this from your engineering background. [00:42:29] Luke Broyles: But, you know, open
systems, the way I like to put it to people is that for the entirety of humanity thus
far, what we have is we have, you know, basically a, a little ocean where we have a bunch of
different ships, we have a bunch of different ships with holes in their holes, and they
all are taking on water.
[00:42:45] Luke Broyles: They’re open systems,
there’s literally a hole in their hole, and they’re taking on water. And so they’re
sinking at different rates. You know, a again, to go back to the British pound, you know,
800 years ago or so, you could trade one pound for almost a dozen cows. And obviously today,
and cows are much more expensive and relative terms to the pound, but cows are also cheaper
because, you know, we have more humans, there are more cows, and the value of one cow in
real terms is much cheaper than it used to be. [00:43:11] Luke Broyles: However the, the
British pound conversion rate to cows is significantly higher. And the reason for that, Is a cattle,
if we can think of cattle as a system, is basically becoming more and more affordable
people.
As that system leaks value, it leaks energy and it becomes more affordable. And
the, the, the brute force, physical cost of acquiring cows goes down, but the value of
the pound goes down faster. [00:43:35] Luke Broyles: So if we’re thinking
of two ships, the pound is sinking at a faster rate than the cow. And so what people have
done in the ancient world is that they would save in things that quote unquote sunk the
slowest.
You save in gold, you save in cattle, and you know, lambs. And you know, b, back
in the day, your, your farm was your livelihood. [00:43:54] Luke Broyles: And then of course,
you know, today better example would be that of real estate or bonds or stocks. There’s
an endless amount of real estate. We can always make more houses. We can always build higher,
you know, and perhaps maybe in the future build more land, you know, who knows or at
least more efficiently use our land. [00:44:09] Luke Broyles: You know, take stocks.
There’s an endless amount of companies and endless amount of brands, and those companies
can issue more stocks. Granted, there are regulations that they have, but at the end
of the day, there’s an endless amount of stocks could be issued to the market and bonds.
Similarly, there are regulations and expectations for, you know, these fixed income assets,
but at the end of the day, we can create more debt.
[00:44:31] Luke Broyles: You know, we can
always make more debt. And, and so what we have here are a series of open systems that
we save in versus cash because we can’t trust our cash. You know, who’s going to
trust our cash? So the is the most open system of all in, in our modern world. And so we’re
leaving this world where we have these 99 ships that are sinking in different rates,
and we’re entering this world where for the first time we have a closed monetary system. [00:44:55] Luke Broyles: And this is something
that was predicted. I, I spoke about this on my previous podcast and in my threads as
well. This is something that was predicted by many folks. Four of the most famous ones
were Tesla in 1900, and then Ford in 21 H Hayek and 84 and Friedman in 1999.
These were
some of those famous people. [00:45:14] Luke Broyles: That predicted the
eventual arrival, this closed ledger. Granted, they predicted different aspects of it, but
they all pretty much predicted the same thing. That eventually as the world becomes more
and more prosperous, that we can’t save in these assets anymore. And we eventually
need something, you know, some ledger we can create that’s actually a consistent monetary
stock of the human race, basically.
[00:45:38] Luke Broyles: And, and that’s
what we have here, that we have infinite everything but we have one closed monetary system. And
really quick, and then I’d love to hear your thoughts from an engineer’s perspective.
One, one of the metaphors I, I love. Is out of oxygen, you know, of all, of all the assets
in the world. [00:45:54] Luke Broyles: You know, the most
essential one for human survival is oxygen. Water is important. Mm-hmm. , you know, heating
is important. It’s very cold outside.
I need that to live. Food obviously is important,
but oxygen from a physiological standpoint is the most essential commodity of the human
race. You know, your brain on a scientific level has the greatest and fastest fear response
of a lack of oxygen. [00:46:17] Luke Broyles: So, you know, I mean,
technically speaking, oxygen is the most valuable thing in our lives that we could own, and
yet we never pay for it. And the reason we never pay for it is because it supplies infinite.
And so yes, demand is important, but supply, I would argue, is just as important and more
important because if there’s an infinite supply of a very valuable thing, it’s price
and relative terms to everything else trends down forever. [00:46:42] Luke Broyles: And so the Mona Lisa
is the other example I like to use. You know, there’s only one Mona Lisa, you don’t
need it to survive. You’re not going to die in five minutes.
Or if the Mo Lisa were
to be destroyed somehow in some horrific accident. But yet the price, the, the exchange rate
say between the mo Lisa and oxygen is trending up forever. [00:47:01] Luke Broyles: You know, if you
were to, to dominate the Mo Lisa in terms of oxygen, it’s value, relative value just
continues to appreciate. And that’s more or less what we have here, that we have all
these infinite systems.
And eventually it became evident to these geniuses of the past
and to the Bitcoiners of today. [00:47:18] Luke Broyles: Eventually, if we’re
going to continue into the information age, we need some sort of decentralized, distributed
monetary system that has a fixed supply cap that’s an amenable ledger in all these other
qualities of, of good money, which we don’t have time to get into here. But basically
what it is, is a system that is closed and that’s why, you know, sailor as an example
you brought up earlier, you know, he’s an engineer and in my discussion, you know, you’re
an engineer and other people I talk to in my personal experience, engineers understand
Bitcoin much faster.
[00:47:49] Luke Broyles: Mm-hmm. than financial
experts. And I believe that’s because engineers are trained to understand the strength and
survivability of but given system. Mm-hmm. . And once one realizes that Bitcoin is designed
to be an economic energy storage system that doesn’t have an energy leak as a function
of time, you realize that it’s inevitable. [00:48:10] Luke Broyles: So I love that. How
many your thoughts as an engineer? [00:48:13] Preston Pysh: As an engineer, you
got me all excited there with that last statement because I mean, it’s, it’s really coming
down to the, the law of conservation of energy. Energy cannot be created nor destroyed. And
when you’re looking at the existing system, the fiat system, I mean, just take, let’s
just say the whole Fiat global system is a hundred units, right? [00:48:34] Preston Pysh: And then tomorrow
it’s 105 units, and then the day after that it’s 110 units.
You are create, you are
quote unquote creating energy in that system, right? It’s not, it’s not a hundred for
everybody to use. And if people abuse the unit that they’ve got while they’re going
to lose it, and if they’ve done smart and intelligent things with that, maybe they’re
going to inherit more of those units. [00:48:56] Preston Pysh: You don’t have.
And it goes back to the chart that you had there where when you corrupt the, the ledger
and you corrupt the money, you’re corrupting the incentive structure of how people are
going to act. And so they’re clawing for these energy units that are being produced
and inserted into a system that is not paying attention to the laws of, of the conservation
of energy, and they’re trying to manipulate it into their favor, and they’re looking
for the gatekeepers, right? [00:49:23] Preston Pysh: It all comes down
at that point to who’s the gatekeeper that’s adding these monetary units into the system,
and how can I gain political favor with them as, as fast and as close to them as I possibly
can? So it’s exciting.
I love that you put those four up there. Was it, was it Ford who
was saying that that there needed to be some tie to like an energy ledge? [00:49:46] Preston Pysh: I forget which one
had that, I forget which one of ’em had that quote, but they were like literally saying
that it needed to be somehow through some type of technological advancement that the
ledger is tied to energy itself. I forget which one of ’em said it though. [00:50:00] Luke Broyles: Yeah. Oh, oh boy.
You’re going to you’re going to derail me a little bit here, but I have to know,
I have to say it.
[00:50:05] Luke Broyles: Yeah. Yeah, so you’re,
you’re right. Tesla. Tesla was the first, and he predicted certain aspects of Bitcoin,
which I don’t, we don’t have time to get into. But Ford, since you brought him up,
it’s really fascinating. Ford was the one, in my opinion, that was the one that first
predicted the monetary aspects of this ledger that today we call Bitcoin.
And what he, what
he said is that eventually we need a way to basically create this ledger that has a tie
to the natural wealth of the world. Now what, what the heck does that mean? Well, for the
average person listening, and I’m really going to rush through, through this here. [00:50:40] Luke Broyles: But what will we,
what we need if we’re going to transition from the ancient world of the industrial age
and upgrade to the modern world of the information age, what we’re doing now is, the first
thing we need is an ener global energy system that makes energy universal and a consistent
unit. The second thing we need after an energy layer is a information layer. [00:51:01] Luke Broyles: You know, information,
age. You gotta have a way to transfer energy into information. Okay? And the third system
is you need a way to communicate that information. Mm-hmm. from one area to another, one person
to another.
You know, over time, you know, some way you need the ability to communicate
that information with extremely low efficient customers space and time. [00:51:20] Luke Broyles: And then the fourth
and final layer to that is you need a way of transferring value. You know, and this
is the order it has to happen. You need energy first. So something that is within the laws
of physics, like you’re saying. And then second, you need a way to turn that into information,
something a little more abstract. [00:51:35] Luke Broyles: And third, you need
a way to communicate that. And then once you have those three, only then can you then create
the monetary layer because you know, again, what is money? Money is economic energy. And
then money is information. And money is a system of communicating that information with
one another. [00:51:52] Luke Broyles: You know, it’s
a ledger of economic energy that communicates. So these are essential steps, and for those
that don’t follow what I’m saying yet, what I’m basically referring to are the
big four transformations of the last, you know, century century half or so, the energy
layers, the electric grid, where basically as Ford said, we convert natural energy into
electric energy.
[00:52:12] Luke Broyles: you know, you have
coal plants, or today we have like nuclear reactors or solar panels or burning natural
gas. You know, we convert natural wealth of the earth and the sun and the earth’s core
into electricity that can then be distributed in a global electric grid or a series of very
large electric grids that communicate with each other globally. [00:52:32] Luke Broyles: And then, okay, what
is something that converts that electricity energy and information? Well, that’s computer.
Obviously you plug it into the wall, electricity flows in, and then you get information out.
You know, again, this all comes back to con, you know, conservation of energy.
Like you’re
saying, nothing’s creator destroyed to energy’s transferred from the natural world into the
electric system, into the information system. [00:52:53] Luke Broyles: And then that information
system communicates, you know, like we’re talking on this video call here, it’s virtually
instantaneous for extremely low brute force physical costs. This is essential. It had
to happen and it had to happen after the computer for obvious reasons. And then, you know, finally
we have this monetary layer where basically it is an algorithm that con, that condenses
value closer and closer. [00:53:15] Luke Broyles: And this gets to
the big idea here. I, I’m jumping the gun a little bit, but the idea that Bitcoin is
the monetary singularity of the human race. That basically what Bitcoin is, is that Bitcoin
is an algorithm that converts natural wealth into information through computers that then
communicates over the internet into. [00:53:34] Luke Broyles: Fixed to ledger that
for the first time in human history we have really our first measure of, of wealth .
Sure.
As absurd as that sounds, pretty much every money we’ve had before Bitcoin is a precursor
to Bitcoin because nothing else has been a closed system and Bitcoin’s the first closed
system and that’s why people very hard time understanding it because first of all they
don’t understand money. [00:53:55] Luke Broyles: Second of all, they
don’t understand how the money’s corrupted and third of all, they don’t understand
Bitcoin because it’s not acting similarly to every other form of money we had. So, that’s
right. Anyway, jumping the gun a little bit, but no, did, to answer your question, that
that’s, that that’s what Ford more or less was predicting and he actually tried
to make Bitcoin.
[00:54:10] Luke Broyles: People don’t know
that he actually tried him in 1920s. He failed obviously because that information or the
communications. Yeah, AKA internet or computer. You know, he couldn’t have made Bitcoin,
but he actually tried cuz he believed it was extremely important for the future of humanity.
Yeah, [00:54:25] Preston Pysh: I think for people
that were, you know, movers and shakers back then, they could see how the game is played. [00:54:31] Preston Pysh: They can see how
the people at the highest level were able to get a first bite at, at the fresh printed
fiat that’s coming off the printing press. And so they ha some of ’em had an appreciation
for what something like this could potentially usher into the world. Ford being one of them.
[00:54:48] Preston Pysh: Okay. So let’s
talk about linear terms, log terms, Getting Off Zero. [00:54:54] Preston Pysh: Give us some of your
thoughts on, on these ideas. [00:54:57] Luke Broyles: Yeah, so one of the
things that people unfortunately assume about Bitcoin is that it’s a risk on asset. It’s
really volatile. Mm-hmm. , that is true. And because that it’s a high risk speculation.
And to their credit, they’re not wrong in the worldview. It’s just respectably speaking. [00:55:14] Luke Broyles: Their worldview is
wrong. In the current worldview, something is volatile and something that goes up. You
know, we, we all, in our current mindset, in our, again, in our ancient worldview mindset
we have this view that when something goes up, it must inherently come down because what
does everything do? [00:55:28] Luke Broyles: Everything comes
down. Cuz we can only make more. And likewise, we assume because it’s volatile, it’s
high risk. Because in a world where we have money managers and people to issue currency,
to keep stable prices, we assume something that’s volatile against a stable political
currency unit must mean that that’s high risk.
[00:55:44] Luke Broyles: Cuz it’s in relation
to everything else. And so, just coming into it, because our incentives and because our
understanding of money has been so corrupted, we have trouble understanding Bitcoin. But
when I, when it comes to your question here, basically the, the important thing to understand
is that Bitcoin is a piece of technology and it inherently is going to be volatile because
it. [00:56:02] Luke Broyles: Expanded an exponential
rate and all technology is expanding exponential rate for all of human history. So, well, volatility
is inherently going to be a function, and the only time at which Bitcoin’s not going
to be volatile is once it’s fully adopted. You know, I mean, you don’t have to take
the internet, you know, if you had a price for the total value of the internet, it would
be nothing but volatile forever. [00:56:22] Luke Broyles: You know, it would’ve
been volatile during the lockdowns of 2020. It would’ve been volatile in the tech bubble.
It, it would’ve been volatile this whole time. Except, you know, the fact that the
network is increasingly volatile to the upside becoming more valuable. You know, because,
you know, one can think of the internet as a communications network of the human race.
[00:56:40] Luke Broyles: One can think of
computers as informational network of the human. The electric grid is the energy network
of the human race and Bitcoin basically as the digital economic monetary system the human
race. So may so, and, and that that’s something that should be said first when differentiating
between linear and logarithmic view here. [00:57:01] Luke Broyles: And, and to emphasize
that point, let me give a little brief. [00:57:04] Preston Pysh: While you’re pulling
that up. So, so much in academics is taught that if there’s volatility that’s that
equals risk. Yes. And they’re not actually talking about like what’s fundamentally,
I know when we talk about it with respect to equities, I would get so frustrated with
this idea that so many academics are saying, well, it’s got all this historical volatility,
so it’s a high risk thing. [00:57:24] Preston Pysh: And I’m thinking,
no, it’s a business.
And the underlying assets on the balance sheet of the business
relative to all their competition’s assets is where the real risk is lies. But it’s
almost like that’s not even discussed. It’s like, well, the price action was volatile,
so it’s risky. It’s like, come on, give me a break. [00:57:42] Preston Pysh: So, When I’m looking
at Bitcoin in a similar light, people are looking at the price action. They’re saying
it’s volatile, but they don’t even understand the beginning of the fundamentals behind it.
They don’t understand that there’s second layer immediate settlement, you know, peer-to-peer
type things happening and, and being just shared all over the world.
[00:58:01] Preston Pysh: They don’t see
any of that type of stuff. So, just a little, just a little pet peeve of my own as you’re
bringing up the slide, and sorry to interrupt you, but go ahead there. [00:58:09] Luke Broyles: No, no, it, it’s,
it’s fine. Frankly, it’s a cheap cop out. Yeah, exactly. I can see it. Cause I once
exactly, I, once, I once believe that too. [00:58:15] Luke Broyles: Yeah. I ignored it
for years cuz of that. Yeah. Oh, it’s volatile, whatever. It’s like, okay, what if. , this
replaces something. Mm-hmm. . And that’s, that’s the slide I want to get to here is
that what we have here are two lines. The first line being a, just a, this is a conceptual
idea here, but basically you have the Stone Age and the Bronze Age.
[00:58:34] Luke Broyles: And of course, which
system is more volatile when you compare these two systems? Well, it’s the incoming age.
It’s the Bronze Age. And why is that? It’s because it absorbs all the value, all the
economic value of the previous system. Again, no energies create or destroyed, and then
it creates new value. [00:58:48] Luke Broyles: And so inherently
it has to be more volatile than the old system. And then if we go from the Bronze Age to the
Iron Age, you know, again, thinking in terms of technological eras, you go from that ancient
world, the Bronze Age to the modern era of that time, the Iron Age, and it’s more volatile
than the previous system. [00:59:05] Luke Broyles: And also it becomes
faster because again, technology is exponential. It gets faster and faster. The number of lifetimes,
number of centuries it takes to upgrade go down continuously.
You go from the Iron Age
to the medieval area, same thing. The same thing occurs. You go from a, again, to the
Ren re Renaissance and age of exploration, you know, the 15th, 16th century, the new
world and everything. [00:59:27] Luke Broyles: And then you have
more recent history. You know, the beginning of the industrial era, you know, the locomotive
is one of my favorite metaphors for Bitcoin, for reasons I won’t get into right now at
this moment. But basically you compare, you know, the Renaissance and that era of exploring
the world and this massive expansion. [00:59:42] Luke Broyles: You have this more
volatile, much faster new era of the locomotive that the locomotive ushers in. And today,
this is my argument of where we are today. We did touch on this a little earlier, but
what we have here is one line of the previous era technologically speaking of the industrial
revolution, the era of the locomotive of steel. [01:00:01] Luke Broyles: And what we have
here is the beginning of the information age, which, you know, arbitrarily we’re marking
at the beginning of the computer, at least I am in 1948.
You know, we’re, we’re,
you know, half a century cl well more than half a century now, in, into the information
that is closing in on a century here. [01:00:18] Luke Broyles: And I, I believe
we’re only just beginning the exponential curve, which I know might sound crazy to people,
but again, about half the world has not used the internet. And once they do, you know,
that, again, MetCast Law, as you bring in more people to the internet, you create more
value. We’re only at the beginning, you know, there are still so many people that,
you know, send checks, don’t use the internet. [01:00:36] Luke Broyles: Even people that
do have, quote unquote internet access that there’s so much that is not a part of the
internet yet, that eventually is going to be, and the efficiencies will just continue.
And so Bitcoin as a subset of the information age here, what we’re looking at here is
a system that’s growing 80%, roughly speaking faster than the internet on a compound or
growth rate.
[01:00:55] Luke Broyles: So Bitcoin is growing
faster than the internet. And that’s, that’s one of people’s big turnoffs is I think,
well, Bitcoin won’t matter to me until it’s fully adopted. Well, the problem is, like
I said, the Internet’s not fully adopted and say what, how much that’s changed your
life. You know, by the time Bitcoin reaches 15% adoption, your life’s going to be radically
different than it’s today. [01:01:14] Preston Pysh: Luke, when I’m
looking at this and you’ve, you’ve brought this up a couple times about the internet
not being all over the world to, to very many people and them having access to this information
age, that’s, that’s really starting to take off when I look at what Bitcoin does
in, in bringing the incentive structure for mining to these local communities all around
the world and how it energizes first those communities.
[01:01:41] Preston Pysh: And gives them a,
an economic incentivize in , gives them an economic incentive to energize their local
communities. Yes. It then ushers in their ability to access all of this information
and to access all of these tools that are readily available to people like you and me
here in the United States. [01:01:59] Preston Pysh: And it’s almost
like they go hand in hand together. [01:02:02] Luke Broyles: Yeah, exactly. These,
these different systems that are on top of each other that I’m referencing, they all
reinforce each other.
You know, the faster you adopt the energy grid, the faster you
can upgrade to all these other things. You know, it, it’s just a reinforcing. [01:02:13] Luke Broyles: And, and then this
is nothing new. This happened with the printing press. You know, back in that exponential
curve of that era, you know, bringing the printing press you cause faster and faster
change in, you know, the Catholic church at the time and you cause more political change.
You know, it’s, it, it’s how everything’s connected. [01:02:27] Luke Broyles: When you have a new
technology and especially a new network effect that compounds with other network effects,
you get an exponentially greater impact on society, which then it impacts everything
else with it. So again, it all comes back to technology here. [01:02:42] Preston Pysh: Talk to us a little
bit about diversification here before we finish things up. [01:02:48] Luke Broyles: Yeah. Diversification.
Let me, let me skip ahead of my slides a little bit. So, really quick one, one of the things
with stocks, cuz that’s typically one of. The first things people refer to stocks, you
know, again, like I was saying, stocks are incredibly monetized.
You know this chart
here, what we’re looking at is the s and p 500 versus the total assets of the Fed E
c b, bank of Japan and people’s bank of China in dollars. [01:03:11] Luke Broyles: What we see is a
clear correlation that as the balance sheet of the central banks increases, we also see
a direct correlation with the s p 500. Again, if you can predict what these issuers of currency
are, to what degree they’re going to manipulate the ledger, then you can pretty much predict
anything including the stock market and to and to the bottom right.
[01:03:28] Luke Broyles: You see pricing stocks
in terms of gold, and you see the world’s becoming more volatile. Again. Since 1913,
the creation of Federal Reserve are becoming more and more cyclical and boom and bust cycles.
These things are becoming incredibly clear and one of the more offensive ideas to people,
you know, again, to really hit at home for the average person, cuz the average person
listening probably owns quite a bit of stocks, but, One of the problems with stocks is that
they’re actually not going up in value in terms versus the political currency units
that you’re denominating them within.
[01:03:57] Luke Broyles: You know, if we look
at the top chart here in this green line, we think we have exponential growth in stocks
and that stocks only go up and yada, yada, yada. But in reality, stocks have been virtually
flat for half a century. They declined quite a bit in 1970s as gold had a major rally valued,
transitioned out of stocks back into gold. [01:04:13] Luke Broyles: And then we had the
major.com bubble where everything was exploded, and that we’ve been pretty much flat since
that crash.
And people don’t really understand us because when my stocks go up in price at
night, fuel richer. And it’s like, well, yes, because technology has made everything
cheaper. Your stocks doing nothing but keeping pace with the expansion of the ledger that
you’re denominating those stocks within. [01:04:36] Luke Broyles: You know, again,
when the money is a lie, the true value of your stocks that the stocks are trying to
communicate to you is a lie That doesn’t make any sense. And you inherently then believe
that the stocks showing up in value and everything else is keeping the same price, when in reality
it’s like, no, the, the stocks are keeping the same value and technology’s forcing
the prices, everything else down. [01:04:55] Luke Broyles: And the point here
again, comes back to monetary premium. If you compare the United States stock market
in, in blue here versus the rest of the world. United States clearly has a monetary premium
because again, if you’re going to store monetary energy, why would you choose a second
best stock market when you can just choose the United States stock market? [01:05:11] Luke Broyles: And so what, when
it comes to diversification and thinking about this if I’m going to skip ahead a little
bit here.
One, one of the main ideas, and I love this graphic so much, one of my favorite
Twitter folks out there. What you see here is that, you know, again, for the first time,
we have this ship that with, with a hole with no open flaws in the system. [01:05:30] Luke Broyles: And so we have a
consistent store of value, a consistent measure of global wealth. And if you stop thinking
of the world in terms of corrupted political currency units, and you instead begin thinking
of the world in terms of fixed, immutable, electric energy units within a closed finite
system, what you begin to see is that the relative value of every other system in the
world continues to decline. [01:05:54] Luke Broyles: Again, to use the
oxygen versus Mona Lisa metaphor, you know, you know, it doesn’t matter how valuable
oxygen is to your survival, if it’s an open system with an infinite supply, it’s relative
price compared to the finite closed system of the Mona Lisa has to, has to go down the
re the relative value has to go down.
[01:06:11] Luke Broyles: And so you, you asked
about diversification. You know, if we look at this here, it pretty much doesn’t matter
what you own. It doesn’t matter if you own stocks or you own Turkish currency, Argentine
currency, gold or real estate. Everything is pretty much going down relative terms against
Bitcoin. [01:06:25] Luke Broyles: And one of the big
frustrating things, again, when it comes to volatility, like you said so well earlier
is that people look at Bitcoin and think, oh, it’s volatile, blah, blah, blah, blah.
It’s a bubble, whatever.
And then it crashes and think, oh, it’s dead. It’s like, well,
what if Bitcoin is not skyrocketing in value than crashing? [01:06:42] Luke Broyles: What if instead it’s
the US dollar that’s volatile? I mean, think about this dramatic rise in interest rates.
What if over the last year Bitcoin has not. Collapsed and priced against the US dollar,
70% one, if the US dollar has actually rallied against Bitcoin, 300% wonder if we’re not
in the middle of a Bitcoin crash, we’re in the middle of a dollar’s para parabolic
spike upwards.
[01:07:04] Luke Broyles: And so, and, and
both these things can be true at the same time. I know Bitcoin’s crashed, obviously,
so, but it’s just that mindset change that we don’t even think about because we’re
so used to thinking about that a US dollar equals value when it doesn’t and it never
has. [01:07:17] Preston Pysh: Yeah. I think for
people that would hear that, like, I completely agree with what you just said, but I think
for Wall Streeters, if they were going to battle back, they’d be like, well, Bitcoin
is such a small market cap compared to like, if you took all the, the world’s fiat currencies,
that that’s why it’s bumping around at such a volatility. [01:07:35] Preston Pysh: And, and there’s
some truth to that too, right? But I think as, as we get further along on the timeline,
And you know, your opinion, my opinion is that Bitcoin’s going to continue to, to
rip in dollar or whatever fiat terms you got.
If you got a long enough time horizon. As
those, as those market caps of these fiat currencies, two bitcoins start to reach a
parody. [01:07:57] Preston Pysh: It’s going to,
it’s going to demonstrate exactly what you said is you’re going to see that maybe it’s
the fiat currencies that are the ones that are, that are moving in such dramatic fashion
because you’re kind of reaching similar buying power between the two networks, the
two monetary networks.
[01:08:14] Luke Broyles: Yeah. So, yeah. And
one, one more word on diversification. I, I really would like to add here, I know we’re
about to end, but one, one more thing I’d like to add is that this is a, some speculation
of something that could happen. This is already happening. This chart that I’ve had up here
for a minute is the US dollar against Bitcoin in log algorithmic terms. [01:08:31] Luke Broyles: Again, cuz you can
only think about technology in logarithmic terms. What we see here are clear lower lows
and lower highs of the US dollar against Bitcoin for over a decade.
This is nothing new. It’s
not just started. It’s only getting faster, and it’s not just the US dollar, it’s
also assets. You know, again, talking about diversification. [01:08:50] Luke Broyles: Political currents,
units, again, the dollar have been trending to zero against Bitcoin for over a decade.
Rent in housing has been going down. And this, this is one of the things, again, you’ll
go back to one of my favorites, Jeff Booth. You know, we think inflation’s bad. We think
prices going down is bad. [01:09:04] Luke Broyles: When reality, it’s
good, it’s good, rent goes down, it’s good when food prices go down because Prosperity’s
becoming more affordable for the first time. Since we have a fixed amenable ledger we can
have the productivity gains of society flow back into the global monetary stock instead
of being based inflated away in a breaking of physics and, and corruption of the ledgers.
[01:09:24] Luke Broyles: So it, so this is
a good thing, this being one of those main examples that rent and housing is continuing
to glow down. And so likewise, you know, Tesla stock has had a great decade, but it’s still
down against Bitcoin cuz it’s a more open system. Gold’s going down and stock indices
are going down. It doesn’t matter if you’re the Nasdaq or Doo or s and p 500, your mutual
funds, whatever.
[01:09:43] Luke Broyles: And probably one,
one. You know, I say in the slide here that they’re going to zero. I probably shouldn’t
have said that. I probably should have said they’re trending towards zero, you know,
in the same way the oxygen never quite hits zero against motor lease. So these things
will probably never quite hit zero, but they’ll continue to have 80, 90% declines, you know,
continually, forever, you know, and it doesn’t matter what you own this, this is, this is
one of my favorite charts to get the point across. [01:10:06] Preston Pysh: Before you go to
this last one, I think it’s really important for people to know that it’s not like you’re
saying that the value of Apple or Google or any of these companies is zero. You’re just
saying that in a world that has been conditioned to think that dollars and Euros and yen are
valuable and that they’re this valuation in today’s terms, when would you move to
this exponential? [01:10:34] Preston Pysh: You know, event where
things are going to be valued in this monetary energy.
The valuation is way different to
what, what you think the value of, call it one Bitcoin is today. And it’s so drastic
that it makes it look like it’s trending to zero, but it’ll never get there. For
e for a lot of equities that re Yeah. [01:10:53] Preston Pysh: That continue to
produce tangible value to society and have products and services that people actually
want to use, right? Like, that’s not going away. It’s just the, it’s, it’s, it’s
a little hard for people to wrap their head around if they haven’t con put a lot of
deep thought into what some of that actually means.
[01:11:09] Preston Pysh: But go back to your
slide there. I want you to, to show that last one for people to see. [01:11:13] Luke Broyles: Yeah, yeah. Yep.
Let me get back to just. Yeah. This is for those that don’t know how Finny was one
of the first big, well, he, he was literally the first besides the Toshi. And back in 2009
two years before Bitcoin hit $1. [01:11:27] Luke Broyles: Okay? Like, so this
is not just before Bitcoin’s $1, it’s two years before it’s $1. How Finny basically
had the stock experiment and he basically predicted exactly what this chart here shows
you total global wealth in terms of Bitcoin declining exponentially towards zero forever
in relative terms to Bitcoin. [01:11:44] Luke Broyles: That’s basically
how funny predicted he said, if this happens, Bitcoin will get to 10 million, blah, blah,
blah. Say it’s more like 40 million adjusted for inflation and it’ll probably be 400
million a decade or so, you know, and that, that price and adjustment just continues up
forever.
But, but the more important point as you said here is that relative wealth in
terms of Bitcoin, just. [01:12:02] Luke Broyles: Forever. And so basically
what we’re looking at here is a likely future where as technology makes everything more
abundant as we have an infinite amount of debt, an infinite amount of prosperity, and
everything just trends towards infinity.
You know, the only finite system and, you know,
humankind, it’s valuable trend towards infinity. [01:12:19] Luke Broyles: And you know, often
people say, well, what if you can just make down Bitcoin? And it’s like, Well, that’s
a whole nother conversation, but you, you can’t, it’s a system designed to prevent
replications of itself in the same way that the Mona Lisa is a piece of art that’s designed
to be unique in it.
It’s designed you, if you copy the Mona Lisa, you only make a less
subversion of the Mona Lisa. [01:12:38] Luke Broyles: In the same way with
Bitcoin, you only make less aversion. So I, I guess for the average person, woman doing
okay, what does this mean for me? Should I buy, what should I buy? Or whatever, you know,
ba basically, my, my view would be that if we invert this, instead of thinking of everything
else declining in relative value against Bitcoin, if we inverse it and realize it, how funny
was right all the way back in 2009 what we’ve seen with Bitcoin is it’s consumption. [01:13:03] Luke Broyles: Of e everything else.
It went from 0 cents for years up to up to 6 cents.
It skyrocketed $30, crashed 90% to
$2 and skyrocketed. And crashed and skyrocketed. Crashed. And right now we’re in a period
where Bitcoin’s price denominated political currency units happens to be down again in
large. Cause because the value of those political currency units has been inflected upwards
as the minister of those currency units, drone Powells made them more valuable. [01:13:29] Luke Broyles: Good. But basically,
what are we looking at here? Well, I, I would strongly argue that what we’re looking at
here is a continued expansion Bitcoins in the future. It’ll continue its massive skyrocketing
trend and, you know, it’ll alternate between skyrocketing dramatically and crashing dramatically
upwards forever.
[01:13:45] Luke Broyles: And it’s going
to be really hard a time. It’s just, I, I would just encourage the average person
to get off zero. Because if we think of this again from a physics perspective, and perhaps
you have a closing com on this, you know, I think a Bitcoin is a monetary black hole
of the human race. You know, for the entirety of humanity. [01:14:02] Luke Broyles: We have been dealing
with plants and we store wealth in plants and asteroids and stars and, you know, all
these things. And you know, you, you throw energy at one, you throw an asteroid at a
planet, you destroy the planet and everything like that. And that’s why currencies fail.
You know, you have an opposing nation apply brute force physical costs in the form of
a military or economic sanctions, and you try to destroy.
[01:14:22] Luke Broyles: And, and so we, we’ve,
we’ve had this system of these sinking ships and these floating planets, and for the first
time ever we have designed something that is basically singularity. And we look at it
and we don’t understand it because doesn’t behave like a planet. It’s just this tiny
little thing that nobody can see is this abstract concept. [01:14:42] Luke Broyles: It doesn’t make
any sense to us. It’s a little, little dark orb, . And we look at it and we think, oh,
whatever. It’s just a bubble. It’s just this thing that doesn’t make any sense to,
I mean, nobody understands it. Okay? But the problem that I would, I would challenge you,
I person listening to is this is what if that thing actually is a threat? [01:14:59] Luke Broyles: what to you? Well,
what if Bitcoin is not a get rich quick scheme or an opportunity? What, what if Bitcoin is
not a symptom of the increasing speculation of an increasingly corrupted ledger? And,
and the symptoms of that? What if Bitcoin is actually the solution and it’s doing
exactly the opposite of what you would expect the world’s lowest risk asset to do? [01:15:18] Luke Broyles: And that’s what
I would argue, as absurd as that might sound, and perhaps even you disagree with me, but
I would argue that Bitcoin’s already the lowest risk asset on planet Earth.
Because
if we assume the future world is coming and we hope that’s coming, the, the only low
risk asset in that world is having a share of the global monetary stock. [01:15:36] Luke Broyles: Why would you own
a security and a company with cash flows? You have a CEO e and scandals Yeah. And cash
for the market. You know, it’s, why, why would you own planets in a universe where
there’s a black hole that’s expanding infinitely forever? You know, it’s like
you can try to censor it, you can try to destroy it. [01:15:51] Luke Broyles: China’s tried to
censor Bitcoin and every time they censor it, they only make the network stronger, and
that’s why they’ve given up on censoring it. You know, no matter how much mass you
throw at the black hole, no matter how much attention or negativity you throw at Bitcoin,
it just absorbs it and grows greater and greater and volatile fashion.
[01:16:06] Luke Broyles: And so I genuinely
believe that Bitcoin’s going to absorb all monetary premium of assets and eventually
become the global means of storing value for the human race. And this is a good thing,
and I believe it’s going to save global lives. [01:16:20] Preston Pysh: And the, yeah, it’s
going to bring in global cooperation. It’s going to usher in a an age of global cooperation. [01:16:25] Preston Pysh: I completely agree
with you, especially at this point in the timeline. You know, maybe if it was 30 years
from now, there, there may be equity that could outperform or outpace what, what remains
as far as what more monetary energy’s going to be pumped into it. But where we’re at
right now, I’m with you a hundred percent. [01:16:41] Preston Pysh: Luke, really appreciate
your time coming on and, and all the slides that you put together that, you know, if people
were listening to this on audio, I’d highly encourage you to go back and see some of Luke’s
slides because, He put up some awesome charts for you to contemplate and look at Luke, give
people a handoff if they want to learn more about you, where they can find you, and anything
else that you want to highlight.
[01:17:04] Luke Broyles: Thanks. Yes. I I
love, I love getting visual presentations for people to try to turn this abstract idea
of energy and monitoring close and, and it’s something that they can understand. Without
getting too technical or putting in the jar, I like to bridge the gap for people. And so
anyway, there, there’s a lot more slides we didn’t get to and I maybe next time we’ll
have to do this again and share, but yeah. [01:17:21] Luke Broyles: I’m, I’m on Twitter,
@luke_broyles, you can follow me there and I’m sure I’m going to be doing a lot of
cool things there in the future, so you can go there. And ultimately, even more than important
than following me as just continuing to learn about Bitcoin and Getting Off Zero as soon
as you can, as soon as you feel comfortable.
[01:17:36] Preston Pysh: Luke, thank you so
much. We’ll have links to that in the show notes so people can just click on that and
find you real fast. And thank you so much for making time tonight. [01:17:44] Luke Broyles: Of course. Thank
you..